Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions.
Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/02/02/opinion/ai-future-leading-thinkers-survey.html
Publish Date: 2026-02-03 07:12:00
Source Domain: www.nytimes.com
People have been working on artificial intelligence for decades. But five years ago, few were predicting that A.I. would break through as the most important technology story of the 2020s — and quite possibly the century. Large language models have turned A.I. into a household topic, but all areas of A.I. have taken great leaps forward.
Now, we are inundated with chatter about how much A.I. will transform our lives and our world. Already, companies are trying to find ways to offload tasks and even entire jobs to A.I. More people are turning to A.I. for social interaction and mental health support. Educators are scrambling to manage students’ increased reliance on these tools. And in the near future A.I. may lead to breakthroughs in drug discovery and energy; it could allow more people to create art and cultural works — or turn these industries into slop factories.
As society wrestles with whether A.I. will lead us into a better future or catastrophic one, Times Opinion turned to eight experts for their predictions on where A.I. may go in the next five years. Listening to them may help us bring out the best and mitigate the worst out of this new technology.
Melanie Mitchell
Computer scientist and professor at the Santa Fe Institute
Yuval Noah Harari
Historian, philosopher and author
Carl Benedikt Frey
Professor of A.I. and work at the University of Oxford
Gary Marcus
Founder of Geometric.AI (acquired by Uber) and author of “Taming Silicon Valley”
Nick Frosst
Co-founder of Cohere, an A.I. start-up
Ajeya Cotra
A.I. risk assessor at METR, a research nonprofit
Aravind Srinivas
Co-founder and chief executive of Perplexity, a chatbot search engine
Helen Toner
Interim executive director of Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology
What is your biggest bet about the future of A.I. in five years?
Yuval Noah Harari Historian
Within five years, A.I. agents are likely to become legal persons in at least some countries.
Source