Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions.

Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions.

Opinion | Where Is A.I. Taking Us? Eight Leading Thinkers Share Their Visions.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/02/02/opinion/ai-future-leading-thinkers-survey.html

Publish Date: 2026-02-03 07:12:00

Source Domain: www.nytimes.com

People have been working on artificial intelligence for decades. But five years ago, few were predicting that A.I. would break through as the most important technology story of the 2020s — and quite possibly the century. Large language models have turned A.I. into a household topic, but all areas of A.I. have taken great leaps forward.

Now, we are inundated with chatter about how much A.I. will transform our lives and our world. Already, companies are trying to find ways to offload tasks and even entire jobs to A.I. More people are turning to A.I. for social interaction and mental health support. Educators are scrambling to manage students’ increased reliance on these tools. And in the near future A.I. may lead to breakthroughs in drug discovery and energy; it could allow more people to create art and cultural works — or turn these industries into slop factories.

As society wrestles with whether A.I. will lead us into a better future or catastrophic one, Times Opinion turned to eight experts for their predictions on where A.I. may go in the next five years. Listening to them may help us bring out the best and mitigate the worst out of this new technology.

Melanie Mitchell

Computer scientist and professor at the Santa Fe Institute

Yuval Noah Harari

Yuval Noah Harari

Historian, philosopher and author

Carl Benedikt Frey

Carl Benedikt Frey

Professor of A.I. and work at the University of Oxford

Gary Marcus

Gary Marcus

Founder of Geometric.AI (acquired by Uber) and author of “Taming Silicon Valley”

Nick Frosst

Nick Frosst

Co-founder of Cohere, an A.I. start-up

Ajeya Cotra

Ajeya Cotra

A.I. risk assessor at METR, a research nonprofit

Aravind Srinivas

Aravind Srinivas

Co-founder and chief executive of Perplexity, a chatbot search engine

Helen Toner

Helen Toner

Interim executive director of Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology

What is your biggest bet about the future of A.I. in five years?

Yuval Noah Harari

Yuval Noah Harari Historian

Within five years, A.I. agents are likely to become legal persons in at least some countries.

Melanie Mitchell

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